The 2022 European Women's Football Championship is currently ongoing at the Group stage in England. 16 countries are all fighting for the honor and glory and to lift that trophy on Wembley Stadium 31 July.
To give us some background and explain who we can expect as the winner in the end and what the odds are actually telling us, we asked David Tezera, Sportsbook Commercial Relations Manager at Kindred Group to share his knowledge and expertise:
It’s the height of a roasting hot summer –flowers are in full bloom and finally life is getting back to normal for a lot of people. Even better, summer 2022 sees The Euros, currently on-going having started 6 July, hosted here in England.
38 years ago
England finished in second place in the first Women's Euros 38 years ago in 1984, where they ultimately lost to Sweden in the final. With it now being played in England the Swedes are hoping history repeats itself and that they once again get their hands on the famous trophy. So much so that Unibet created a Swedish Euros song named “Den kommer hem” meaning it’s “coming home” (sorry England!).
What do the odds say?
Let’s look back at the start of the tournament. On 6th July, when the tournament started, hosts England were favourites to win the final at odds 4.50 which has the implied probability (IP) of 22%.
Spain were second in the betting 5.00 (IP 20%) followed by France 7.00 (IP 14%), Netherlands 7.50 (IP 13,3%) and Sweden 8.00 (IP 12,5%).
Looking at the odds today
France’s odds have shortened, and they are currently joint-favourites with England to lift the trophy at odds 4.25 (IP 23,5%) after a 5-1 win against Italy in their first group stage game.
Norway were at odds of 21 to win the tournament before a ball was kicked and after their 4-1 win over Northern Ireland their probability of winning increased which means the odds shortened into 12 (IP increase from 4,75% to 8,33%). Unfortunately for Norway they were defeated by England 8-0 in their second group stage game and their odds drifted all the way out to 41.
Sweden were at odds 7.00 (IP 14.2%) to win the tournament before their 2-1 win against Switzerland but looks like the oddsmakers were not impressed with their victory as they are at odds 8.00 (IP 12,5%) to win the tournament today.
Let's see which country will lift the trophy at Wembley Stadium on 31st July. We know what the odds are telling us.
If this post made you interested in seeing what the current odds are you can find them here.